How many of his own voters does a maskless, crowded, shoutfest called a Trump rally sicken or even kill?
Three weeks ago, Trump had large rally in Moon Township, Allegheny County, Pennsylvania. A few thousand attended from western Pennsylvania, eastern Ohio & the panhandle of West Virginia.
So far, there's no evidence that #COVID has increased much in these areas:
While there are some increases in Western Pennsylvania, the main hotbed for spread in Pennsylvania over the last month has been the Centre county area, home to Penn State. Centre county is the reddish county in the upper right hand corner of the map (it really doesn't show up much on the 10/1 map).
So I'm glad to have been wrong about Trump's 9/22 rally in Moon Township. It might have contributed slightly to COVID-19 spread, but there's no evidence it was yet another super-spreader event.
Sadly, Pennsylvania "turned orange" in its COVID-19 outbreak over the last few weeks, probably mostly due to the Penn State Surge. It has been yellow most of the year, and Allegheny county is still yellow.
October 13 map
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